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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.18+1.93vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.78vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.71-0.73vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+0.56vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+0.63vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.22-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.05-0.39vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.50-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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3.78Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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2.27Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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4.56Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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5.63Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.54Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.68Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Schwenger | 21.7% | 26.1% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ted Wingender | 12.9% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Fast | 37.8% | 26.6% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Christiani | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 6.7% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 22.1% | 18.7% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 9.1% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 6.3% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 48.1% |
| Connor Van Demark | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 24.4% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.