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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.72+2.46vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-1.33+2.40vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.46-0.90vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.92vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.32-1.96vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-2.51-0.21vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.85-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Virginia-0.7214.5%1st Place
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4.4Princeton University-1.335.7%1st Place
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2.1Princeton University0.4640.2%1st Place
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3.08Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6416.6%1st Place
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3.04Princeton University-0.3219.1%1st Place
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5.79Drexel University-2.512.3%1st Place
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6.13Monmouth University-2.851.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 14.5% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Robert Rubin | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 28.2% | 20.0% | 7.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 40.2% | 28.1% | 17.6% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 16.6% | 21.1% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 19.1% | 20.5% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Schon | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 36.4% | 35.9% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 25.9% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.