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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.72+2.41vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.46+0.02vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.01vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.32-0.98vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.66-0.22vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-2.51-0.30vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.85-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of Virginia-0.7213.6%1st Place
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2.02Princeton University0.4642.1%1st Place
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2.99Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6417.8%1st Place
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3.02Princeton University-0.3218.1%1st Place
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4.78Princeton University-1.665.0%1st Place
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5.7Drexel University-2.511.9%1st Place
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6.08Monmouth University-2.851.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 13.6% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 24.6% | 17.2% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
| Ossian Kamal | 42.1% | 29.1% | 17.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 17.8% | 22.9% | 22.2% | 21.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 18.1% | 20.4% | 23.9% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Calif Chen | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 29.8% | 26.3% | 10.9% |
| Sarah Schon | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 34.8% | 33.4% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 24.1% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.