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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.56+1.27vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.59vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.18-0.15vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.50+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.69+2.09vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-1.72vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.59vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.19-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
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3.59Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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2.85Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.54Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.28Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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5.41Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.96Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Brown | 36.6% | 28.3% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 14.4% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Nick Schwenger | 23.5% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 24.7% | 14.6% |
| Ben Fairer | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 61.2% |
| Daniel Christiani | 10.5% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 25.4% | 12.2% |
| Tracy Venella | 4.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.