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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+2.02vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.46+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.72+0.38vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.66+0.72vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-2.51+0.78vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.85+0.07vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6418.4%1st Place
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2.04Princeton University0.4641.4%1st Place
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3.38University of Virginia-0.7212.9%1st Place
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4.72Princeton University-1.664.9%1st Place
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5.78Drexel University-2.512.2%1st Place
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6.07Monmouth University-2.851.4%1st Place
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2.99Princeton University-0.3218.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kayla Maguire | 18.4% | 20.3% | 21.9% | 23.5% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
Ossian Kamal | 41.4% | 28.3% | 17.9% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Lydia Sweeney | 12.9% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
Calif Chen | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 30.6% | 25.5% | 9.3% |
Sarah Schon | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 14.1% | 34.5% | 36.8% |
Abigail Eck | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 25.4% | 51.6% |
Carly Mraz | 18.7% | 22.4% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.