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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.56+1.26vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.18+0.85vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.31vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.70-0.41vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.50+0.54vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.19-1.00vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.69-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
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2.85Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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4.31Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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3.59Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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5.54Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.0Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.41Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Brown | 38.0% | 25.8% | 18.7% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 23.2% | 25.4% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Christiani | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 3.3% |
| Ted Wingender | 13.8% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 20.9% | 24.2% | 13.8% |
| Tracy Venella | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 8.3% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 21.1% | 22.6% | 13.1% |
| Ben Fairer | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.