← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island-0.20+3.03vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.18+0.07vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire-0.37+1.33vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University-0.19+0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont-0.62-0.36vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-1.50vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.70-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.03University of Rhode Island-0.2011.8%1st Place
-
2.07Roger Williams University1.1842.5%1st Place
-
4.33University of New Hampshire-0.3710.0%1st Place
-
4.05Northeastern University-0.1912.0%1st Place
-
4.64University of Vermont-0.627.5%1st Place
-
4.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.517.7%1st Place
-
4.39Bates College-0.708.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emaline Ouellette | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
| Jack Crager | 42.5% | 28.1% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ted Richardsson | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| Grant Smith | 12.0% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 12.3% |
| Ryan Petrush | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 22.9% |
| Evan Tofolo | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 19.2% |
| Colby Green | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.