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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+4.36vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+0.33vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.18-0.15vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.50+1.52vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.69+2.10vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-1.72vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.70-3.38vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.19-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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2.33Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
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2.85Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.52Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.28Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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3.62Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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4.93Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 22.9% | 11.7% |
| Casey Brown | 35.1% | 28.1% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Schwenger | 22.6% | 25.3% | 21.2% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 24.8% | 14.2% |
| Ben Fairer | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 61.6% |
| Daniel Christiani | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Ted Wingender | 15.3% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Tracy Venella | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.