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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.56+1.27vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.18+0.85vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.33vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.70-0.41vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.19+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.69+1.03vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.50-1.41vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
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2.85Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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4.33Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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3.59Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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5.03Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.59Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.31Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Brown | 37.5% | 26.8% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Schwenger | 23.6% | 24.3% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Christiani | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 3.1% |
| Ted Wingender | 14.4% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Tracy Venella | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 7.9% |
| Ben Fairer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 59.9% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 25.6% | 16.5% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.