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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+3.25vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+0.33vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.18-0.15vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.19+1.04vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.50+0.59vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.69+0.10vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.70-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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2.33Webb Institute1.560.4%1st Place
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2.85Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.04Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.59Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.35Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
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3.5Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Christiani | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| Casey Brown | 35.1% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 23.7% | 24.7% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tracy Venella | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 8.7% |
| Connor Van Demark | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 26.7% | 12.5% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 22.6% | 11.8% |
| Ben Fairer | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 16.1% | 63.2% |
| Ted Wingender | 15.3% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.