Race 1A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Kitay 2.4% 2.1% 3.8% 3.4% 2.5% 3.8% 4.3% 5.3% 5.0% 6.5% 7.6% 9.3% 14.1% 30.0%
Graham Ness 8.4% 8.2% 7.4% 9.2% 9.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.1% 7.0% 7.6% 7.0% 5.0% 3.5% 2.5%
Peter Busch 21.0% 18.3% 15.6% 13.1% 9.8% 7.0% 5.3% 4.3% 2.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Nick Budington 6.9% 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 7.7% 9.1% 8.7% 8.0% 7.3% 6.6% 4.7% 3.6%
Ella Hubbard 4.7% 6.5% 5.1% 6.0% 7.3% 6.2% 7.4% 6.8% 7.4% 8.8% 8.9% 9.3% 8.2% 7.5%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 10.8% 12.2% 11.5% 9.3% 9.4% 9.8% 7.6% 7.6% 7.0% 4.5% 4.1% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7%
Adrien Bellanger 6.2% 5.7% 7.0% 5.1% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3% 8.6% 7.6% 8.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.2% 5.9%
Chase Reynolds 5.7% 6.0% 5.8% 5.6% 7.1% 6.9% 6.9% 6.3% 8.4% 7.0% 8.5% 8.6% 9.3% 7.8%
Alexandra Chigas 5.4% 5.0% 7.2% 6.5% 7.0% 6.7% 8.9% 6.4% 8.7% 8.5% 8.6% 8.6% 7.4% 5.0%
Matthew Wallace 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 7.5% 9.1% 7.8% 8.2% 7.5% 6.7% 5.6% 3.6%
Adam Larzelere 5.3% 5.9% 4.9% 7.1% 7.8% 7.0% 8.2% 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 8.5% 8.7% 6.9%
Clark Morris 7.8% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 8.0% 8.1% 8.2% 7.4% 7.2% 6.1% 6.5% 5.6% 3.0%
Blake Vogel 3.3% 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 4.9% 5.5% 5.8% 6.3% 7.1% 8.3% 9.0% 9.6% 12.7% 14.6%
Benjamin Stevens 5.5% 4.5% 4.5% 6.8% 5.7% 7.6% 6.7% 7.2% 7.7% 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 9.7% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.