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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+0.86vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.17vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.06vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+0.16vs Predicted
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5Williams College-0.90-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Northeastern University0.7745.4%1st Place
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2.17Olin College of Engineering0.4631.9%1st Place
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3.06Maine Maritime Academy-0.3311.6%1st Place
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4.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.484.0%1st Place
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3.76Williams College-0.907.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 45.4% | 31.8% | 15.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Peter Schnell | 31.9% | 33.1% | 23.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 11.6% | 19.2% | 31.6% | 26.7% | 10.8% |
| Norman Walker | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 25.1% | 52.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 32.1% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.