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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.07+2.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.39+2.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.59+1.16vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+1.57vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+0.31vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.03+1.16vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.59-0.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.25-3.38vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.58-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Georgetown University2.0725.9%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy1.3913.1%1st Place
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4.16Georgetown University1.5913.2%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.866.8%1st Place
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5.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.048.4%1st Place
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7.16George Washington University0.033.0%1st Place
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6.07Old Dominion University0.595.6%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Naval Academy1.2511.9%1st Place
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4.57Hampton University0.5812.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Owen Kohut | 25.9% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Teddy Martin | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
Benjamin Smith | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
Joseph Marynowski | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
Mats Braaten | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 9.2% |
Eva Wieting | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 43.9% |
Olivia Gilmore | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 19.9% |
Hugh Carty | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
Tyler Brown | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.