← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.28+0.75vs Predicted
-
2Rice University0.94+1.23vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas1.01+0.29vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+0.01vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University-0.26-0.30vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75Tulane University2.2852.8%1st Place
-
3.23Rice University0.9414.6%1st Place
-
3.29University of Texas1.0113.1%1st Place
-
4.01Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.307.2%1st Place
-
4.7Texas A&M University-0.264.2%1st Place
-
4.02Texas A&M University at Galveston0.278.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 52.8% | 28.5% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Joe Slipper | 14.6% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 21.8% | 14.9% | 7.4% |
| Matias Martin | 13.1% | 19.3% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 7.4% |
| Nicholas Carew | 7.2% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 24.0% | 20.1% |
| Zachary Aronson | 4.2% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 21.3% | 42.9% |
| Ethan Polsen | 8.0% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 22.8% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.