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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.12vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+8.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+3.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.80vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+3.59vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-2.43vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.21vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-1.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-0.61vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.13+1.55vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.27-4.33vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.20-5.19vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-6.26vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.51-8.09vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.10-3.58vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.17-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.28Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.96Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.59Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.74Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.81College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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13.42University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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15.74University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Haley Powell | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Alison Kent | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 16.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 14.7% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.