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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+0.88vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.99vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.46-0.78vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.90-0.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Northeastern University0.7744.1%1st Place
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2.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.3314.3%1st Place
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2.22Olin College of Engineering0.4630.6%1st Place
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3.75Williams College-0.907.0%1st Place
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4.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.483.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 44.1% | 31.4% | 17.3% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Hyde | 14.3% | 19.7% | 29.3% | 25.9% | 10.8% |
| Peter Schnell | 30.6% | 32.5% | 23.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 7.0% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 32.6% | 33.0% |
| Norman Walker | 3.9% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 24.6% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.