Race 3A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ella Hubbard 5.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.8% 5.6% 7.6% 7.1% 7.1% 7.2% 9.0% 9.2% 8.8% 8.2% 7.0%
Peter Busch 21.3% 18.1% 14.8% 13.1% 9.4% 7.2% 5.3% 4.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Graham Ness 8.3% 8.1% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6% 7.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.4% 7.9% 6.4% 5.5% 4.8% 2.5%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 10.8% 10.8% 11.9% 10.3% 10.4% 9.0% 9.0% 7.2% 5.7% 5.2% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 1.0%
Nick Budington 8.0% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 7.9% 8.2% 8.8% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 7.1% 6.3% 5.0% 3.1%
Chase Reynolds 4.7% 5.4% 5.1% 6.9% 6.6% 7.0% 6.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.6% 7.8% 10.2% 9.0% 6.7%
Blake Vogel 3.8% 4.4% 4.3% 4.5% 5.9% 5.1% 6.6% 5.0% 7.1% 7.5% 8.7% 10.4% 11.6% 15.0%
Matthew Wallace 7.0% 6.8% 7.7% 6.7% 7.9% 7.6% 8.8% 8.1% 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 6.3% 6.5% 4.0%
Alexandra Chigas 7.1% 6.2% 5.6% 7.0% 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 7.1% 8.5% 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 8.2% 5.8%
Alex Kitay 2.3% 2.6% 3.4% 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 4.6% 5.0% 5.3% 6.5% 8.8% 9.0% 13.8% 29.3%
Adrien Bellanger 4.9% 5.1% 7.0% 5.8% 6.9% 7.1% 7.6% 7.5% 8.2% 8.3% 8.9% 8.2% 8.0% 6.6%
Clark Morris 6.5% 8.8% 7.4% 9.0% 8.5% 8.6% 8.2% 9.3% 7.3% 6.2% 5.7% 6.5% 4.8% 3.1%
Adam Larzelere 5.2% 5.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.5% 7.4% 5.9% 8.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.4% 7.6% 8.8% 7.6%
Benjamin Stevens 4.8% 4.9% 5.4% 5.1% 5.9% 6.6% 6.8% 7.9% 7.6% 8.6% 9.6% 9.3% 9.5% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.