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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+0.88vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.21vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.01vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.90-0.27vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Northeastern University0.7743.9%1st Place
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2.21Olin College of Engineering0.4630.9%1st Place
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3.01Maine Maritime Academy-0.3313.8%1st Place
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3.73Williams College-0.907.2%1st Place
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4.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.484.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 43.9% | 32.6% | 16.7% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Peter Schnell | 30.9% | 32.5% | 22.9% | 11.5% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 13.8% | 19.1% | 30.4% | 25.4% | 11.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 7.2% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 32.7% | 32.4% |
| Norman Walker | 4.2% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 24.3% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.