← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University3.35+7.66vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.51+6.05vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.82+7.87vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+6.02vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.83+1.58vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.28+2.86vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.71+0.08vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.14vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.10-3.48vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.29-1.02vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.20-1.81vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University3.27-2.82vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.92-2.89vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.40vs Predicted
-
15University of Minnesota2.13-1.78vs Predicted
-
16University of Texas1.17-0.11vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.73-5.81vs Predicted
-
18University of Washington2.10-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.66Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.05Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
10.87Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
6.58Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
8.86Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.08Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
6.86U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
5.52Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
8.98University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.19College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.18Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.11Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
13.22University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
-
15.89University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.19Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
13.13University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 8.3% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alison Kent | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 13.6% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 53.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.