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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+0.85vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.18vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90+0.78vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Northeastern University0.7744.9%1st Place
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2.18Olin College of Engineering0.4630.2%1st Place
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3.78Williams College-0.906.9%1st Place
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3.03Maine Maritime Academy-0.3314.3%1st Place
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4.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.483.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 44.9% | 32.6% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Peter Schnell | 30.2% | 35.4% | 22.8% | 9.7% | 1.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 35.6% | 32.5% |
| Nathan Hyde | 14.3% | 16.9% | 32.1% | 24.6% | 12.1% |
| Norman Walker | 3.6% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 25.1% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.