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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.15vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+6.69vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+5.99vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.99vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+0.62vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.13+5.12vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+1.63vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92+0.53vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-3.81vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-2.92vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.10-7.50vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.11vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-4.04vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.27-7.15vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.10-3.58vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.17-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.99University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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8.99College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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13.12University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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10.63Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.19Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.96Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.85Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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15.74University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alison Kent | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 14.4% |
| Sky Adams | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Haley Powell | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 14.8% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.