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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+9.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+5.96vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+6.06vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+4.42vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+2.02vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+2.82vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-1.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.12vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.51-1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.13+2.34vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-2.53vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-4.38vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.92-3.96vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-4.03vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.10-10.39vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.10-3.55vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.17-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.79Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.06Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.42Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.02Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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9.47College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.04Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.97Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.61Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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13.45University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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15.73University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Alison Kent | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 15.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 15.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 16.6% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.