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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+6.16vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+3.57vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.25+4.66vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.61+2.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+2.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18+1.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51-0.17vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.80+1.18vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.58-5.27vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.35-2.73vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.50-0.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-4.05vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.05-4.51vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.23-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Boston College1.566.9%1st Place
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5.57Boston College1.9510.5%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
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6.69Boston College1.617.5%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University1.165.8%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University1.185.2%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University1.518.9%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University0.804.2%1st Place
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3.73Boston College2.5820.6%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University1.356.0%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College0.502.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University1.156.0%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College0.055.0%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University1.235.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Chigas | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Graham Ness | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Clark Morris | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% |
| Peter Busch | 20.6% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Alex Kitay | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 30.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.