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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+0.89vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.22vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.01vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.90-0.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Northeastern University0.7743.5%1st Place
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2.22Olin College of Engineering0.4629.5%1st Place
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2.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.3314.7%1st Place
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3.75Williams College-0.907.2%1st Place
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4.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.485.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 43.5% | 31.6% | 18.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Peter Schnell | 29.5% | 33.8% | 24.6% | 10.1% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 14.7% | 19.1% | 29.6% | 25.8% | 10.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 7.2% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 33.9% | 32.4% |
| Norman Walker | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 24.3% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.