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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+4.85vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+4.50vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35+3.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+4.47vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-0.14vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20+0.85vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.13+3.35vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.28-2.28vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-3.10vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-5.48vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-3.53vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-4.93vs Predicted
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16University of Texas1.17-0.19vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.88vs Predicted
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18University of Washington2.10-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.47Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.86Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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13.35University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.47Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Alison Kent | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 15.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Emily Billing | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 51.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.