Race 6A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Graham Ness 8.2% 7.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 7.6% 8.1% 8.0% 6.7% 6.5% 5.8% 4.8% 3.1%
Alexandra Chigas 5.5% 5.8% 7.2% 7.0% 6.3% 7.6% 7.1% 7.0% 8.2% 8.4% 7.4% 8.4% 8.2% 5.9%
Peter Busch 21.4% 18.6% 14.5% 13.2% 8.7% 7.4% 5.7% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 4.7% 6.8% 6.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 8.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.1%
Nick Budington 7.1% 6.4% 8.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.8% 8.1% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 7.4% 6.4% 4.9% 3.2%
Ella Hubbard 5.0% 5.1% 6.2% 5.9% 7.1% 5.8% 8.0% 7.3% 8.3% 8.2% 9.5% 8.8% 8.5% 6.5%
Matthew Wallace 6.7% 7.8% 6.6% 7.3% 6.9% 8.2% 8.4% 8.5% 7.7% 8.0% 6.8% 7.7% 5.6% 3.8%
Alex Kitay 1.9% 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 5.5% 5.7% 5.0% 6.3% 7.2% 10.1% 13.3% 30.1%
Clark Morris 9.3% 7.3% 7.0% 8.0% 10.1% 8.6% 7.4% 7.5% 7.0% 7.3% 6.6% 5.4% 5.5% 3.0%
Benjamin Stevens 4.2% 4.8% 6.1% 6.2% 6.8% 6.1% 6.0% 7.8% 7.9% 7.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.8% 9.1%
Chase Reynolds 5.3% 5.0% 5.5% 6.6% 5.8% 6.6% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 10.4% 7.1%
Blake Vogel 4.4% 4.2% 5.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.5% 5.1% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 8.0% 10.8% 11.3% 14.0%
Adam Larzelere 5.0% 6.7% 6.3% 5.3% 6.4% 7.5% 8.3% 6.3% 7.6% 8.1% 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 7.1%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 11.4% 11.8% 10.1% 10.7% 9.2% 9.3% 7.6% 7.4% 6.7% 6.1% 4.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.