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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+0.88vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.18vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90+0.75vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Northeastern University0.7742.8%1st Place
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2.18Olin College of Engineering0.4632.6%1st Place
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3.75Williams College-0.906.7%1st Place
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3.03Maine Maritime Academy-0.3313.6%1st Place
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4.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.484.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 42.8% | 33.2% | 17.2% | 6.2% | 0.5% |
| Peter Schnell | 32.6% | 31.9% | 22.9% | 10.4% | 2.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.7% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 34.2% | 31.9% |
| Nathan Hyde | 13.6% | 18.6% | 30.8% | 25.6% | 11.6% |
| Norman Walker | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 23.6% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.