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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.81vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+5.25vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+6.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+3.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.92vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.21vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+2.07vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.23vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+1.22vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-1.29vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-5.25vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-4.36vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-3.73vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.17+0.84vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.28-7.16vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.13-3.60vs Predicted
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18University of Washington2.10-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.25Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.71Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.32Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.27Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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15.84University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.5% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Haley Powell | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 51.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Alison Kent | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 16.1% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.