Race 7A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nick Budington 6.9% 7.0% 7.8% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 7.0% 8.2% 6.5% 5.2% 3.0%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 9.8% 10.9% 9.2% 10.5% 10.8% 9.3% 9.6% 8.0% 6.6% 5.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Peter Busch 22.4% 19.2% 15.2% 11.0% 9.2% 7.5% 6.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Graham Ness 8.3% 8.1% 8.2% 9.3% 7.7% 8.8% 8.1% 7.7% 8.5% 7.8% 6.0% 5.2% 3.6% 2.6%
Benjamin Stevens 5.3% 4.7% 5.7% 6.2% 5.9% 7.7% 5.8% 6.7% 7.7% 8.4% 8.3% 8.0% 10.5% 9.2%
Clark Morris 9.2% 6.8% 8.2% 7.6% 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 8.2% 7.0% 7.5% 6.9% 6.1% 4.7% 2.8%
Alex Kitay 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 4.3% 5.1% 6.3% 7.5% 8.9% 14.1% 30.3%
Alexandra Chigas 5.8% 6.9% 5.7% 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 8.4% 7.8% 7.7% 7.4% 5.1%
Matthew Wallace 5.9% 7.3% 6.4% 7.8% 8.7% 7.4% 7.6% 8.3% 7.8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 4.3%
Adrien Bellanger 6.4% 5.7% 6.8% 7.4% 6.8% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.2% 7.5% 8.2% 7.8% 6.9% 6.5%
Ella Hubbard 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 6.8% 6.3% 6.7% 6.6% 7.8% 6.9% 8.3% 8.6% 8.9% 9.8% 6.3%
Blake Vogel 3.4% 4.3% 4.0% 3.8% 5.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 7.3% 8.2% 8.5% 11.6% 11.8% 15.2%
Adam Larzelere 4.8% 5.1% 6.4% 6.9% 6.2% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 7.6% 8.3% 8.2% 9.4% 8.2% 6.9%
Chase Reynolds 5.1% 5.9% 6.7% 5.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.0% 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 8.6% 8.9% 9.8% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.