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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.28+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.01+1.24vs Predicted
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3Rice University0.94+0.21vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27+0.05vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.26-0.30vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Tulane University2.2852.4%1st Place
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3.24University of Texas1.0114.5%1st Place
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3.21Rice University0.9414.1%1st Place
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4.05Texas A&M University at Galveston0.277.2%1st Place
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4.7Texas A&M University-0.264.2%1st Place
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4.05Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.307.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 52.4% | 28.1% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matias Martin | 14.5% | 19.6% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 16.0% | 6.6% |
| Joe Slipper | 14.1% | 21.7% | 22.2% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 6.9% |
| Ethan Polsen | 7.2% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 22.0% |
| Zachary Aronson | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 43.2% |
| Nicholas Carew | 7.7% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.