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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.19vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.77-0.13vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.02vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.90-0.27vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Olin College of Engineering0.4632.0%1st Place
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1.87Northeastern University0.7743.5%1st Place
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3.02Maine Maritime Academy-0.3313.6%1st Place
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3.73Williams College-0.907.0%1st Place
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4.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.483.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Schnell | 32.0% | 32.2% | 22.9% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 43.5% | 33.2% | 16.8% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Hyde | 13.6% | 19.4% | 29.4% | 26.2% | 11.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 7.0% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 33.5% | 31.5% |
| Norman Walker | 3.8% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 24.1% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.