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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+8.02vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.70vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+5.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.13+6.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.26vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92+0.52vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-1.71vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-4.61vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.82-2.54vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-5.50vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.10-1.70vs Predicted
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16University of Texas1.17-0.11vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.10-11.22vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.73-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.02Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.65Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.83Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.78University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.39Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.46Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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15.89University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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5.78Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.85Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Alison Kent | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 14.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Haley Powell | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 13.8% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 53.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.