Race 8A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adrien Bellanger 5.5% 7.1% 5.9% 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 6.7% 8.0% 7.0% 8.8% 6.2%
Peter Busch 21.6% 18.8% 15.2% 11.4% 10.2% 7.4% 5.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Graham Ness 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.1% 9.2% 7.9% 7.4% 7.3% 6.5% 6.2% 5.0% 2.5%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 10.7% 10.7% 12.0% 10.3% 9.6% 10.1% 8.6% 6.9% 6.5% 5.0% 4.2% 3.1% 1.8% 0.6%
Ella Hubbard 5.9% 5.4% 6.3% 7.0% 6.1% 6.7% 6.5% 7.1% 9.2% 7.5% 8.5% 8.8% 8.2% 6.9%
Adam Larzelere 5.4% 5.7% 5.5% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.9% 7.3% 6.9% 7.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.3% 8.0%
Benjamin Stevens 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.8% 5.4% 6.2% 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 8.4% 9.3% 8.9%
Matthew Wallace 6.8% 6.0% 6.8% 8.3% 8.6% 7.1% 8.8% 7.3% 8.3% 8.2% 7.8% 6.6% 6.0% 3.5%
Clark Morris 7.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.9% 8.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.7% 7.7% 7.0% 7.0% 6.2% 4.7% 2.9%
Alexandra Chigas 6.8% 5.8% 7.1% 6.2% 7.6% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 8.2% 7.8% 7.5% 7.6% 7.3% 5.8%
Alex Kitay 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 3.5% 3.9% 5.0% 6.2% 7.1% 7.8% 9.4% 13.5% 29.3%
Nick Budington 7.1% 6.7% 6.2% 8.0% 8.3% 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 7.6% 8.6% 6.8% 7.2% 5.9% 2.9%
Blake Vogel 3.5% 4.2% 4.8% 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 5.7% 7.1% 6.0% 8.1% 8.0% 9.8% 12.2% 14.6%
Chase Reynolds 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 6.9% 6.2% 8.0% 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 10.2% 7.8% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.