Race 9A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nick Budington 7.3% 6.6% 8.1% 7.3% 8.6% 8.2% 8.2% 7.2% 8.3% 7.0% 8.3% 6.2% 5.3% 3.2%
Adrien Bellanger 5.5% 6.5% 6.7% 5.8% 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 8.0% 8.0% 9.6% 7.2% 9.3% 8.4% 5.3%
Peter Busch 20.9% 18.6% 14.5% 12.8% 9.4% 7.2% 6.5% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Wallace 6.8% 6.5% 7.1% 7.9% 7.0% 7.6% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.6% 8.7% 6.1% 5.5% 3.9%
Benjamin Stevens 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.1% 7.0% 7.6% 6.8% 9.0% 8.7% 10.2% 9.7%
Adam Larzelere 5.8% 6.6% 5.7% 6.4% 7.8% 6.7% 6.5% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 7.3%
Ella Hubbard 6.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.5% 8.6% 9.1% 8.5% 6.4%
Alexandra Chigas 4.6% 6.0% 7.0% 6.6% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 7.1% 5.8%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 11.1% 10.4% 10.9% 10.7% 10.1% 8.7% 8.2% 8.2% 6.8% 5.9% 3.6% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
Chase Reynolds 5.2% 5.2% 5.5% 6.5% 5.6% 6.7% 8.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 7.5% 9.0% 10.3% 7.8%
Clark Morris 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 7.7% 8.6% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 8.1% 7.1% 6.6% 7.6% 5.3% 2.9%
Alex Kitay 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 6.1% 6.1% 7.5% 9.6% 13.7% 30.0%
Graham Ness 8.2% 8.6% 8.3% 8.0% 7.7% 9.1% 7.9% 8.1% 6.7% 7.7% 7.6% 5.9% 3.9% 2.4%
Blake Vogel 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 4.7% 5.5% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 7.1% 7.0% 8.5% 9.0% 11.8% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.