← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.82+9.71vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.29+6.79vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.83+3.69vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.27+4.60vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.92+5.07vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.28+2.68vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University3.35+1.36vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.37vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.51-1.33vs Predicted
-
10University of Minnesota2.13+3.33vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.83vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.20-2.65vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.71-6.19vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.50-6.52vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.73-4.18vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy3.74-9.09vs Predicted
-
17University of Texas1.17-1.12vs Predicted
-
18University of Washington2.10-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.71Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
-
6.69Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
8.6Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.07Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.68Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.36Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
7.67Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
13.33University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
-
10.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
9.35College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
-
6.81Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.48Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
10.82Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
15.88University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
-
13.06University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Alison Kent | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 15.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Mary Hall | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 53.7% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.