Race 10A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Wallace 7.1% 7.3% 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 8.3% 6.5% 8.3% 6.8% 7.2% 5.7% 4.5%
Chase Reynolds 5.1% 5.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.2% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 7.2% 8.2% 8.9% 9.7% 8.6% 8.4%
Peter Busch 21.6% 18.6% 15.1% 13.2% 10.2% 6.2% 5.4% 3.6% 2.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 6.1% 7.3% 7.3% 7.8% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 8.0% 7.7% 8.0% 5.3%
Alex Kitay 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.6% 6.9% 7.1% 11.1% 14.2% 29.4%
Clark Morris 7.5% 7.0% 9.3% 8.8% 8.2% 7.9% 6.5% 9.3% 9.3% 6.2% 6.2% 5.5% 5.1% 3.1%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 10.9% 12.6% 11.2% 10.2% 9.2% 9.7% 7.7% 6.9% 6.3% 5.8% 5.0% 2.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Graham Ness 8.0% 8.6% 7.8% 8.1% 9.3% 8.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.4% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9%
Ella Hubbard 5.8% 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.2% 8.8% 6.2% 7.8% 8.8% 8.9% 8.5% 7.9% 6.8%
Adam Larzelere 5.0% 6.0% 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.0% 8.8% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 8.1% 6.6%
Blake Vogel 4.2% 4.6% 4.5% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 6.0% 7.0% 5.9% 8.2% 8.1% 10.0% 12.0% 15.6%
Alexandra Chigas 5.8% 5.1% 6.9% 5.9% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 9.5% 9.0% 7.4% 8.5% 8.2% 7.6% 5.1%
Benjamin Stevens 4.4% 4.5% 5.4% 5.6% 5.4% 5.9% 8.1% 7.4% 8.9% 7.2% 8.5% 8.9% 10.8% 8.9%
Nick Budington 7.0% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 9.0% 8.6% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 7.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.