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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.14vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+6.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+4.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+2.81vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+5.03vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.43vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.08vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.28vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-2.70vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.27-2.12vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-2.52vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.13+0.14vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.17+1.71vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-4.80vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-5.30vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-8.14vs Predicted
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18University of Washington2.10-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.71Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.03Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.3Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.88Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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15.71University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.7Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Alison Kent | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 52.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Sky Adams | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.