← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.27+8.02vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University3.35+6.69vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.83+3.78vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington2.10+9.14vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.20+4.06vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.93vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.710.00vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.82+2.53vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.28-0.22vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.73+1.24vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.51-2.95vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.41vs Predicted
-
13University of Minnesota2.13+0.09vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.41vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas1.17+0.85vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida3.29-7.20vs Predicted
-
17Yale University4.10-11.24vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.92-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.02Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
-
8.69Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.78Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
13.14University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
-
9.06College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.93U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.0Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.53Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.78Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
11.24Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
8.05Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
13.09University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
-
7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
15.85University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
-
8.8University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
5.76Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
10.09Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 14.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Mary Hall | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Alison Kent | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 15.6% | 52.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.