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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+10.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+4.53vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+6.38vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.90vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-1.07vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.05vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+0.95vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-0.42vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01+1.58vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.71-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-2.50vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.23-6.42vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-7.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.02vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.69-3.24vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.53Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.05Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.58Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.18Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.5University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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7.58Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Lyon | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 17.7% |
| Masie Comen | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 16.4% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.