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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+9.04vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.18vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+8.71vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01-0.02vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.51+2.54vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.23-1.26vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.11vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-1.00vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.69+1.89vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.33vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-7.34vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-5.79vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.01-3.44vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-8.23vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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4.98Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.18Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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7.74Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.21Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.77Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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15.87University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 20.4% | 19.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 9.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Masie Comen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 16.2% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.