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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.28+0.75vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.01+0.23vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.300.00vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.94-1.76vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.26-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Tulane University2.2852.9%1st Place
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4.04Texas A&M University at Galveston0.277.6%1st Place
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3.23University of Texas1.0115.0%1st Place
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4.0Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.307.4%1st Place
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3.24Rice University0.9413.1%1st Place
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4.74Texas A&M University-0.264.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 52.9% | 27.9% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Polsen | 7.6% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 24.1% | 21.2% |
| Matias Martin | 15.0% | 19.6% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 14.8% | 7.4% |
| Nicholas Carew | 7.4% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 20.3% | 24.5% | 19.4% |
| Joe Slipper | 13.1% | 21.6% | 22.8% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Zachary Aronson | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 21.3% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.