← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.74+5.10vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.01+3.11vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.74+7.07vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.29+7.37vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.23+2.73vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.85+3.35vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.51+3.64vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.71-2.06vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.01-0.34vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-2.96vs Predicted
-
11University of Minnesota2.01+1.66vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College3.14-3.50vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.71-3.25vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.18-6.26vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.16vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.13vs Predicted
-
17University of Washington1.69-3.23vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas0.77-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.1Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
5.11Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
10.07Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
11.37Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
7.73Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.35Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
10.64University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
5.94College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.66Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
-
7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
12.66University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
8.5Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.75Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
10.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
13.77University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
-
15.87University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 10.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| Masie Comen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 16.4% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.