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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+7.37vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.05vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.67vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+4.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+1.98vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+2.80vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.26vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+0.86vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-1.06vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29+0.60vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.78vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.71-7.07vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-3.67vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.16vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.01-3.33vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.69-3.24vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.16Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.67Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.23Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.94Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.6Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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5.93College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.33University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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15.88University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 10.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 16.8% |
| Masie Comen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.