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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.15vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.04vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.75vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23+2.71vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71-0.04vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+1.14vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+1.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.87+0.14vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-0.44vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-1.02vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-0.14vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-2.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.43vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.51-4.41vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-2.31vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-0.95vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.01-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.96College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.14Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.14Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.86Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.59University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 15.8% |
| Masie Comen | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 56.4% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.