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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.07vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+4.09vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+2.91vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-1.01vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.23+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.51+2.53vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+2.50vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.01+2.75vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.71-1.09vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.71-1.79vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-3.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.49vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.87-5.87vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.77-0.01vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-6.05vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.69-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.09Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.53University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.5Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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9.91Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.21Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.11Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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15.99University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 10.8% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Masie Comen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 16.1% | 53.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.