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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+9.06vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+6.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.02vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+0.96vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+4.16vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.51+3.70vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.27vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-3.10vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29+1.77vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-4.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.80vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.17vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.69-0.68vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.01-2.49vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.99vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.71-7.01vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.35Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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4.96Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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9.16Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.66Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.7University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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7.73Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.9College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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13.32University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.99Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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15.85University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.2% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Masie Comen | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.