← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.08vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.69+11.95vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.71+3.15vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida2.51+6.50vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.23+2.75vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.85+3.35vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.01-2.05vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.71+1.81vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.23-1.25vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.74-3.87vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.01-2.17vs Predicted
-
12University of Minnesota2.01+0.88vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-2.28vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.29-2.82vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.71-5.11vs Predicted
-
16University of Texas0.77-0.01vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College3.14-8.62vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy2.71-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
13.95University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.15College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.5University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
7.75Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.35Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
4.95Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
9.81Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.75Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.83Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
12.88University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
10.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
-
11.18Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.89Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
15.99University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
-
8.38Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.68U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.9% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 11.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Masie Comen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 53.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.