← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+6.98vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.74+8.05vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.85+6.51vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.23+3.75vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.77vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.29+5.65vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.74-1.06vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota2.01+4.42vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.71-3.09vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.71+0.16vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-0.22vs Predicted
-
12Boston College4.01-6.73vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.51-2.52vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.01-5.57vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington1.69-1.36vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College3.14-7.70vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.95vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas0.77-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.98Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.05Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.51Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
7.75Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.65Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
5.94Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
12.42University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.91College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.16Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
5.27Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
10.48University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
8.43Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
13.64University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.3Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
10.05U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
15.89University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 6.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 9.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 15.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Masie Comen | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.