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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+4.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.33+7.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+5.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+3.13vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.86+1.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.85vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71+0.10vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10-2.79vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-3.28vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-3.44vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-0.16vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.16-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-3.38vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-5.22vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-2.80vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Yale University2.5515.2%1st Place
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9.04Brown University1.334.4%1st Place
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8.37Boston College1.585.8%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.8%1st Place
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8.13Brown University1.694.9%1st Place
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7.82Yale University1.866.4%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College1.715.9%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.1011.4%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College2.109.6%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College1.848.3%1st Place
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11.84Tufts University0.662.5%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University1.163.5%1st Place
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10.62University of Rhode Island0.993.0%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University1.223.9%1st Place
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13.2Connecticut College0.341.9%1st Place
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12.43University of Vermont0.481.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| bella casaretto | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 30.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.