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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+6.56vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+4.49vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+2.58vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.33+4.18vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+4.61vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.71+1.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.16+2.80vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-1.10vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-4.91vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.86-3.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-4.02vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.10-6.87vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-4.20vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.34-1.76vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-3.57vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.66-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston College1.585.0%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College1.847.1%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College2.109.7%1st Place
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9.18Brown University1.335.4%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island0.992.9%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College1.715.9%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University1.163.0%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.3%1st Place
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5.09Yale University2.5514.8%1st Place
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7.68Yale University1.868.1%1st Place
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7.98Brown University1.696.3%1st Place
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6.13Harvard University2.1011.0%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
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13.24Connecticut College0.341.4%1st Place
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12.43University of Vermont0.482.0%1st Place
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11.69Tufts University0.662.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| bella casaretto | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 31.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 19.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.