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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.28+0.71vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27+2.00vs Predicted
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3Rice University0.94+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Texas1.01-0.71vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.26-0.25vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Tulane University2.2854.3%1st Place
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4.0Texas A&M University at Galveston0.277.8%1st Place
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3.21Rice University0.9413.4%1st Place
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3.29University of Texas1.0113.5%1st Place
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4.75Texas A&M University-0.263.9%1st Place
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4.04Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.307.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 54.3% | 28.1% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Polsen | 7.8% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 22.2% | 20.8% |
| Joe Slipper | 13.4% | 21.9% | 23.2% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 6.6% |
| Matias Martin | 13.5% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 7.7% |
| Zachary Aronson | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 22.2% | 44.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 7.2% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 23.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.