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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+4.13vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+6.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.71+4.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.84vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+3.12vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84+1.44vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.86+0.79vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-1.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.49vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-0.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.16-0.37vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-2.30vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.10-7.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.34-1.76vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-3.30vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.33-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Yale University2.5515.3%1st Place
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8.39Boston College1.586.3%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College1.716.3%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.4%1st Place
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8.12Brown University1.696.9%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College1.846.8%1st Place
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7.79Yale University1.867.2%1st Place
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6.59Dartmouth College2.109.6%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.8%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University1.224.2%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University1.162.6%1st Place
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11.64Tufts University0.662.6%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island0.993.0%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University2.108.6%1st Place
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13.24Connecticut College0.341.7%1st Place
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12.7University of Vermont0.481.4%1st Place
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9.38Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| bella casaretto | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 29.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 21.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.