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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+6.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+4.98vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.00vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.82vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+1.82vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+2.80vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+1.83vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-3.16vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.51+0.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.96vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-3.47vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.01-1.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-3.48vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-2.24vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-0.94vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.95Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.0Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.53Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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9.13Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.4% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Liana Folger | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 7.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 16.8% |
| Masie Comen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 57.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.