← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.58+7.24vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.33+7.24vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.55+2.16vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.85vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.10+1.34vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.69+2.01vs Predicted
-
7Yale University1.86+0.86vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.11vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.84-1.62vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.66+1.54vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.71-3.08vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.10-5.23vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.34+0.44vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.22-4.44vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.16-4.13vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.48-3.57vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island0.99-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.24Boston College1.586.1%1st Place
-
9.24Brown University1.334.3%1st Place
-
5.16Yale University2.5514.8%1st Place
-
9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.9%1st Place
-
6.34Harvard University2.109.3%1st Place
-
8.01Brown University1.697.4%1st Place
-
7.86Yale University1.867.2%1st Place
-
7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.7%1st Place
-
7.38Bowdoin College1.847.4%1st Place
-
11.54Tufts University0.663.4%1st Place
-
7.92Dartmouth College1.717.4%1st Place
-
6.77Dartmouth College2.107.9%1st Place
-
13.44Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
-
9.56Northeastern University1.224.4%1st Place
-
10.87Tufts University1.162.6%1st Place
-
12.43University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
-
10.5University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% |
| bella casaretto | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 32.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 18.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.