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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.12vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+5.00vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+5.78vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.51+4.72vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.85vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.58vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-2.21vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+0.05vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.69+1.93vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.01-0.62vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-5.57vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-3.46vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.02vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-0.93vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.14-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.04College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.72University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.05Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.52Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.43Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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8.04Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 24.9% | 16.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 7.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Masie Comen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 14.9% | 56.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.