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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.13vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+7.56vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+7.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+4.57vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-0.98vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.23+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.69+5.56vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.01+3.59vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+0.11vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.85vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-3.45vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-5.32vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-3.69vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.16vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-4.34vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.74-7.09vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.57Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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5.02Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.56University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.15College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.55Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.31University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.91Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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15.88University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 20.2% | 17.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 7.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Masie Comen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.