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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.80vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+5.72vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.86+2.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.33+3.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.71+0.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22+0.92vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-3.65vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.16-0.26vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-5.43vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.58-4.60vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.50-2.33vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-3.26vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-2.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.5%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College1.847.4%1st Place
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5.15Yale University2.5515.1%1st Place
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7.95Brown University1.696.0%1st Place
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7.73Yale University1.866.6%1st Place
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9.25Brown University1.334.9%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College1.717.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.224.0%1st Place
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6.35Harvard University2.1010.0%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University1.163.2%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College2.1010.2%1st Place
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8.4Boston College1.585.8%1st Place
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11.67University of Michigan0.502.9%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University0.662.2%1st Place
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13.37Connecticut College0.341.5%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island0.992.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| bella casaretto | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 14.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 32.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.