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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.84vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+5.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+3.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+1.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.92vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+2.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.33+2.26vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58+0.25vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.86-1.20vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-3.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-1.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-0.42vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.71-5.07vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.16-3.29vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.99-4.24vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-2.49vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.50-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.4%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College1.846.9%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University2.1010.7%1st Place
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5.15Yale University2.5515.7%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.6%1st Place
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8.02Brown University1.695.7%1st Place
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9.26Brown University1.334.2%1st Place
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8.25Boston College1.586.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University1.867.6%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College2.109.6%1st Place
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9.83Northeastern University1.223.8%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University0.662.1%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College1.716.7%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University1.163.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Rhode Island0.992.8%1st Place
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13.51Connecticut College0.341.7%1st Place
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11.68University of Michigan0.502.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| bella casaretto | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 34.9% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.