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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+7.03vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.03vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+7.93vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+5.60vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.11vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+3.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+2.85vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.21vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+2.54vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.51-0.18vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-5.64vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-5.35vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.01-9.13vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.01-2.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.05vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-0.92vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.69-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.11Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.37Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.95Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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4.87Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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12.55University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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16.08University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.2% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 9.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Masie Comen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 55.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.