← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.71+5.24vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.23+6.06vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.01+5.90vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.23+3.74vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.010.00vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College3.14+2.19vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.14vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.85+1.21vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.75+0.73vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.51+0.93vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.71-0.88vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas0.77+4.20vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.21vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington1.69-0.59vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.38vs Predicted
-
16Yale University3.74-9.96vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.33-5.44vs Predicted
-
18University of Minnesota2.01-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.24College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.06Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
-
8.9Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.74Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
5.0Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
-
8.19Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.21Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.73Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
10.93University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
10.12Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
16.2University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
-
9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
13.41University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
-
10.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
6.04Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.56Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
-
12.41University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.8% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Masie Comen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 57.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 15.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 3.9% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.