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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+7.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.16+8.97vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+5.53vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+2.46vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.86+2.75vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+0.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.89vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.55-2.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.94vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-2.14vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-3.29vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.50-0.19vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-3.14vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.33-4.91vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-3.20vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.99-5.18vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.52-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Brown University1.696.0%1st Place
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10.97Tufts University1.163.5%1st Place
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8.53Boston College1.585.8%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University2.109.3%1st Place
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7.75Yale University1.866.8%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.108.2%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.3%1st Place
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5.12Yale University2.5514.5%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.2%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College1.716.4%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College1.847.3%1st Place
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11.81University of Michigan0.502.9%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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9.09Brown University1.335.8%1st Place
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11.8Tufts University0.662.9%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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12.52Connecticut College0.522.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| bella casaretto | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.