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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+4.11vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+7.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.86+4.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+4.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+6.02vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+0.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.72vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-1.44vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+1.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.58-1.63vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.21vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.84-4.17vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.71-4.89vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.66-2.40vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.33-5.73vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.50-4.17vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.52-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Yale University2.5514.1%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.224.0%1st Place
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7.87Yale University1.866.9%1st Place
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8.08Brown University1.696.4%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University1.163.2%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College2.109.6%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.3%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University2.109.7%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island0.992.8%1st Place
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8.37Boston College1.586.8%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.7%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College1.846.8%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College1.716.1%1st Place
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11.6Tufts University0.662.4%1st Place
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9.27Brown University1.335.2%1st Place
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11.83University of Michigan0.502.4%1st Place
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12.57Connecticut College0.521.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% |
| Sarah Young | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| bella casaretto | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 17.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.