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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+7.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51+7.93vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.72vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+4.60vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.07vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+2.91vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.29vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-1.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.20vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-0.23vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.96vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-3.83vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.01-9.09vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.33-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.01-4.31vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.06Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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7.72Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.6Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.07College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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9.17Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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11.3Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.6% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 3.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 17.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| Masie Comen | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.