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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+5.55vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+7.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+6.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+7.49vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71+0.52vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-0.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12+0.87vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.01vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-0.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.89vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.41vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.54-1.72vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.36-2.16vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-5.96vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.03vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.55-9.64vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.80-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.52Dartmouth College4.050.0%1st Place
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9.84Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.7Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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11.59SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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7.36Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.16Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Colin Smith | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Raul Rios | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% |
| Harry Scott | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% |
| William Haeger | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Michael Grove | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% |
| Graham Landy | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Hans Henken | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.