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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+8.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+4.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+3.65vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+3.06vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+0.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.97vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+1.85vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.16+1.76vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-1.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.50-0.12vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.86-5.02vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-3.23vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-3.21vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.52-3.56vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.58-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Brown University1.334.9%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University2.1010.8%1st Place
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5.03Yale University2.5514.2%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College1.846.9%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College1.716.2%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.109.4%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University1.223.7%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University1.163.6%1st Place
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8.19Brown University1.695.8%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.6%1st Place
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11.88University of Michigan0.502.5%1st Place
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7.98Yale University1.867.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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11.79Tufts University0.662.9%1st Place
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12.44Connecticut College0.522.0%1st Place
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8.45Boston College1.586.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Young | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 17.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 22.6% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.