← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.10+5.87vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+7.75vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.86+4.84vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.78vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan0.50+6.87vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.55-0.79vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College1.71+1.04vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.16+3.02vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.84-1.36vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.33-0.86vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.10-4.83vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.66+0.04vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.69-4.95vs Predicted
-
14Boston College1.58-5.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.99-4.16vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.52-3.67vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.22-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.87Dartmouth College2.109.2%1st Place
-
9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.0%1st Place
-
7.84Yale University1.867.0%1st Place
-
7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.5%1st Place
-
11.87University of Michigan0.502.5%1st Place
-
5.21Yale University2.5513.7%1st Place
-
8.04Dartmouth College1.716.5%1st Place
-
11.02Tufts University1.163.4%1st Place
-
7.64Bowdoin College1.846.5%1st Place
-
9.14Brown University1.334.9%1st Place
-
6.17Harvard University2.1010.3%1st Place
-
12.04Tufts University0.662.8%1st Place
-
8.05Brown University1.697.0%1st Place
-
8.46Boston College1.585.7%1st Place
-
10.84University of Rhode Island0.992.9%1st Place
-
12.33Connecticut College0.522.4%1st Place
-
9.94Northeastern University1.223.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 17.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 16.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 23.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.