← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+10.04vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College4.05+7.51vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.55+4.40vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston4.76+2.27vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.12+3.90vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College3.60+5.23vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.82vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.90vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University4.01+0.41vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.15vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University4.71-4.36vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.49+0.01vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University4.08-4.04vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University4.74-7.81vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.98-5.48vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin3.36-3.70vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia3.54-5.43vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University3.80-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.04U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
9.51Dartmouth College4.050.0%1st Place
-
7.4Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
6.27College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
-
8.9Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
11.23SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
-
9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
9.41Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
-
6.64Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
12.01University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.96Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.19Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
-
9.52Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
-
12.3University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
11.57University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
-
10.17Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Graham Landy | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Juan Maegli | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Harry Scott | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Colin Smith | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 17.6% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% |
| Hans Henken | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.