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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+9.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+7.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+4.43vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.97vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+4.41vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+3.04vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.89vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-1.58vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-2.48vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.53vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.76-4.50vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.67vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-3.82vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-4.68vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.05-5.72vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-4.39vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-4.65vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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7.43Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.53SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.32Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.56University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| William Haeger | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Graham Landy | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Raul Rios | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% |
| Juan Maegli | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Grove | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Colin Smith | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.8% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.