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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.50+9.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.66vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.11vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+2.08vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.86+2.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69+0.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.16+1.70vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.33-0.62vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-2.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.66-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.38vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.28vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.58-6.45vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.78-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54University of Michigan0.502.5%1st Place
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5.66Harvard University2.1011.8%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.0%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College2.1010.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University1.867.6%1st Place
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4.58Yale University2.5516.2%1st Place
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7.34Brown University1.696.4%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.163.3%1st Place
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8.38Brown University1.334.8%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College1.717.6%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University0.663.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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7.55Boston College1.586.3%1st Place
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9.76Bowdoin College0.783.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Olsen | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 20.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Young | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| bella casaretto | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 18.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.