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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+5.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.16+7.73vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+2.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+3.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66+5.62vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.53vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33+0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.50+1.48vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-5.33vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.86-3.73vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.58-4.50vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.12vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-6.79vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.78-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Dartmouth College2.1010.2%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.163.7%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University2.1010.8%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College1.716.9%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University0.662.9%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.9%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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8.26Brown University1.334.9%1st Place
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10.48University of Michigan0.502.2%1st Place
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4.67Yale University2.5514.9%1st Place
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7.27Yale University1.867.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College1.586.2%1st Place
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8.88Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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7.21Brown University1.698.4%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College0.783.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sarah Young | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
Annika Fedde | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% |
Cordelia Burn | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
bella casaretto | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 20.3% |
Lucy Brock | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
Anna Olsen | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 20.7% |
Emma Cowles | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Megan Grimes | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
Katherine McNamara | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Teagan Cunningham | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.