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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+8.26vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+4.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+3.74vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+5.22vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+2.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.95vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.27vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01+1.43vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.86vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.41vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.87vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-2.03vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.76-6.74vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-2.64vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-5.82vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-6.58vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.54-5.34vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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11.27SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.43Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.97Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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11.36University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Graham Landy | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Grove | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Colin Smith | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Juan Maegli | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.